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dc.rights.licenseAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
dc.contributor.authorPenalba, Markel
dc.contributor.authorZarketa-Astigarraga, Ander
dc.contributor.otherBarkanov, Egor
dc.contributor.otherMartinez, Abel
dc.contributor.otherMartínez Perurena, Ander
dc.contributor.otherIglesias, Gregorio
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-02T08:52:56Z
dc.date.available2024-02-02T08:52:56Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.identifier.issn0196-8904
dc.identifier.otherhttps://katalogoa.mondragon.edu/janium-bin/janium_login_opac.pl?find&ficha_no=174466
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11984/6176
dc.description.abstractThe design of the different offshore renewable energy (ORE) technologies depends on the characteristics of wind/wave resources. However, these characteristics are not stationary under climate change. In this study the evolution of European offshore wave/wind resources is assessed under mid- and high-emissions scenarios based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and three forecasting horizons including the near (2023–2032), mid (2041–2050) and long term (2091–2100). The novelties lie in: (i) the concurrent analysis of wind and wave resources, (ii) the use of data with a 3-hour temporal resolution, and (iii) the local-scale statistical analysis. Results show significant variations along the 21st century, with an overall decline in average wind and wave conditions. Importantly, and somewhat counter-intuitively, much of the Atlantic coast of continental Europe experiences increasing extremes in the high-emissions scenario. For the local-scale statistical analysis, the focus is on five wind farm sites, commissioned or in planning. In the high-emissions scenario, the 99th and 99.99th percentiles decrease in three of them and increase in the other two. The combination of decreasing averages and increasing extremes presents the worst-case scenario for ORE technology developers.
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rights© 2024 The Authors
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectOffshore renewable energy resource
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectShared socioeconomic pathways
dc.subjectCMIP6
dc.subjectGlobal and local scales
dc.subjectStatistical analysis
dc.titleEvolution of the European offshore renewable energy resource under multiple climate change scenarios and forecasting horizons via CMIP6
dcterms.accessRightshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dcterms.sourceEnergy Conversion and Management
local.contributor.groupMecánica de fluidos
local.description.peerreviewedtrue
local.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2023.118058
local.contributor.otherinstitutionhttps://ror.org/03265fv13
local.contributor.otherinstitutionhttps://ror.org/01cc3fy72
local.contributor.otherinstitutionhttps://ror.org/008n7pv89
local.source.detailsVol. 301. N. art. 118058, 2024
oaire.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
oaire.file$DSPACE\assetstore
oaire.resourceTypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85


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Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
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